In a heavyweight bout on in Saturday's main event, Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
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Blaydes vs. Lewis: Odds, spread and lines
- Get your Super Bowl squares ready because Super Bowl 55 is happening this evening at Raymond James Stadium. This year's big game features a match up between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa.
- In a lightweight bout on Saturday's main card, Islam Makhachev and Drew Dober meet at UFC 259 at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. And then the main card on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC 259 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
- Minty Bets is joined by Kevin Iole to preview the Heavyweight Main Event between Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas on Sat.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.
How Does The Odds Work In Ufc
How Does The Odds Work In Ufc
: Blaydes -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Lewis +340 (bet $100 to win $340)Over/UnderWhat Do The Odds Mean In Ufc
: 2.5 rounds (Over +105 | Under -125)Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +250 | No -300)Place your legal, online UFC on ESPN+ 49 sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!
Blaydes vs. Lewis: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Blaydes 14-2 | Lewis 24-7
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Blaydes (-450) steps into the octagon as an overwhelming favorite in the main event over Lewis. He has just a one-inch height and reach advantage, but the real advantage is in the stats.
Blaydes is ahead 3.55 to 2.64 in significant strikes landed per minute, and 53.44 to 50.84 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. The real difference is in his ability to get Lewis to the canvas as Blaydes has an overwhelming 6.98 to 0.54 takedown-average lead, and 55.66 to 26.92 takedown-accuracy percentage advantage.
While Blaydes will cost you four and a half times your potential return on the 2-way line, he is a much better play on the 5-way line. Back BLAYDES BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-160) for a better value.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Four of the past six bouts for Lewis have finished inside the distance, while Blaydes has had stoppages in four of his past six, too. However, this one should go past the midway point. Lewis might be an overwhelming underdog, but he is no slouch. He'll make Blaydes work for this victory. OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+105) is worth a look, but it won't be much further than that. It's a cheaper play than OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-225), although the latter is worth a small-unit play, too, especially if you can tie it into a parlay.
In the main event, I also like a three-round betting block of BLAYDES IN ROUND 2 (+400), BLAYDES IN ROUND 3 (+800) and BLAYDES IN ROUND 4 (+1300). Yes, you'll lose two of those ends, but if he wins between Round 2-4, you'll be well ahead.
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